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FBC Melgar W vs UNSAAC W

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Liga Women 2026 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA)
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2026 game between FBC Melgar W and UNSAAC W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FBC Melgar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FBC Melgar W
11%
Draws
9%
UNSAAC W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FBC Melgar W come out ahead of UNSAAC W on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on FBC Melgar W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FBC Melgar W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 20%
UNSAAC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W UNSAAC W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs UNSAAC W
4:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Women
UNSAAC W vs FBC Melgar W
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs UNSAAC W
5:0
Apr 25, 2024 Liga Women
UNSAAC W vs FBC Melgar W
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 76 / 100
UNSAAC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W UNSAAC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNSAAC W let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

FBC Melgar W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

FBC Melgar W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS UNSAAC W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes W1091055:428
2Atl. Andahuaylas W1081114:825
3Sporting Cristal W1070330:921
4A. Lima W1062226:720
5Yanapuma W1051415:2116
6FBC Melgar W1042415:1414
7Flamengo FBC W1032516:2111
8Defensores W1021711:297
9UNSAAC W101367:256
10Killas W1012714:265
11Carlos Mannucci W101184:434
12Biavo W00000:00