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FBC Melgar W vs Yanapuma W Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA), Arequipa
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AI Match Summary

FBC Melgar W in this Liga Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBC Melgar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
FBC Melgar W
15%
Draws
17%
Yanapuma W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBC Melgar W lately — more wins on the board than Yanapuma W.
  • FBC Melgar W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 20%
Yanapuma W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBC Melgar W Yanapuma W
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Liga Women
Yanapuma W vs FBC Melgar W
1:4
Mar 28, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Yanapuma W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBC Melgar W 85 / 100
Yanapuma W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBC Melgar W Yanapuma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBC Melgar W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FBC Melgar W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Yanapuma W conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

Solid form: FBC Melgar W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FBC Melgar W VS Yanapuma W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FBC Melgar W

(Home)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
Page 1 of 6

Yanapuma W

(Away)
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci W
4 : 2
Yanapuma W
20 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 0
Atl. Andahuaylas W
12 Sept
UNSAAC W
4 : 1
Yanapuma W
05 Sept
Yanapuma W
3 : 9
Universitario de Deportes W
29 Aug
Flamengo FBC W
3 : 0
Yanapuma W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Deportes W 10 9 1 0 55:4 28
2 Atl. Andahuaylas W 10 8 1 1 14:8 25
3 Sporting Cristal W 10 7 0 3 30:9 21
4 A. Lima W 10 6 2 2 26:7 20
5 Yanapuma W 10 5 1 4 15:21 16
6 FBC Melgar W 10 4 2 4 15:14 14
7 Flamengo FBC W 10 3 2 5 16:21 11
8 Defensores W 10 2 1 7 11:29 7
9 UNSAAC W 10 1 3 6 7:25 6
10 Killas W 10 1 2 7 14:26 5
11 Carlos Mannucci W 10 1 1 8 4:43 4
12 Biavo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Women 2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)