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FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad host AFC Eskilstuna in the Division 1 - Norra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. AFC Eskilstuna have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while FBK Karlstad have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.71. Head-to-head, FBK Karlstad have won 2 to AFC Eskilstuna's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.75) point toward FBK Karlstad. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FBK Karlstad
20%
Draws
42%
AFC Eskilstuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Eskilstuna average 2.06 goals a game right now, well clear of FBK Karlstad's 1.71.
  • FBK Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 12%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad AFC Eskilstuna
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 20 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.71 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
3:0
Jun 15, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad
2:2
Mar 24, 2024 Club Friendly
AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 40 / 100
AFC Eskilstuna 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad AFC Eskilstuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

FBK Karlstad went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AFC Eskilstuna has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS AFC Eskilstuna
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 7

AFC Eskilstuna

(Away)
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 24 17 3 4 57:20 54
2 AFC Eskilstuna 24 14 4 6 45:32 46
3 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
4 FC Arlanda 24 13 6 5 42:27 45
5 FBK Karlstad 24 12 6 6 39:33 42
6 Karlstad 24 11 7 6 36:24 40
7 Enkopings SK 24 12 3 9 37:40 39
8 Assyriska FF 24 9 5 10 43:42 32
9 Gefle 24 9 3 12 29:42 30
10 Umea FC 24 8 5 11 32:40 29
11 Karlbergs 24 8 5 11 30:39 29
12 Vasalund 24 7 6 11 35:48 27
13 Sollentuna 24 5 9 10 22:33 24
14 Pitea 24 5 6 13 29:45 21
15 FC Jarfalla 24 5 3 16 32:54 18
16 IFK Stocksund 24 3 5 16 44:60 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)