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FBK Karlstad vs FC Arlanda

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gorgos M. In: Bergstedt O.
Out: Gorgos M.
46'
Sub
Hoiby J. In: Forsberg E.
Out: Hoiby J.
63'
Sub
Butros M. In: Ahmed M.
Out: Butros M.

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad host FC Arlanda in the Division 1 - Norra. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FBK Karlstad have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against FC Arlanda's 1.38 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, FBK Karlstad have won 0 to FC Arlanda's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.31, favoring FBK Karlstad. FBK Karlstad in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FBK Karlstad
6%
Draws
90%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Arlanda.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FC Arlanda.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 - Norra provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 18%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad FC Arlanda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs FC Arlanda
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 10 / 100
FC Arlanda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad FC Arlanda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

FC Arlanda let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

FBK Karlstad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Arlanda lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS FC Arlanda
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368