Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP

Gefle

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad play Gefle in the Division 1 - Norra. It looks like a close match. Recently, FBK Karlstad averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Gefle averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, FBK Karlstad won 1, Gefle won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for FBK Karlstad and 0.94 for Gefle. This points to a FBK Karlstad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

FBK Karlstad

39%

Draws

31%

Gefle

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

FBK Karlstad has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gefle.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 - Norra provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 20%

Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FBK Karlstad	Gefle
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	16	11
Draws	3	3
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra

FBK Karlstad vs Gefle

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hana G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fredriksson L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasanbegovic M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 31 / 100

Gefle 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FBK Karlstad Gefle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Gefle let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FBK Karlstad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gefle lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Gefle

1.88 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	14	10	2	2	38:11	32
2	Karlstad	14	9	3	2	22:9	30
3	FC Arlanda	14	8	5	1	23:10	29
4	FC Stockholm Internazionale	14	8	3	3	28:14	27
5	Enkopings SK	14	8	1	5	24:23	25
6	FBK Karlstad	14	7	3	4	23:20	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	14	5	4	5	23:24	19
8	Karlbergs	14	5	3	6	23:23	18
9	Umea FC	14	4	4	6	20:24	16
10	FC Jarfalla	14	4	3	7	21:27	15
11	Vasalund	14	4	3	7	20:30	15
12	Assyriska FF	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
13	Gefle	14	4	2	8	17:29	14
14	Sollentuna	14	2	7	5	12:19	13
15	Pitea	14	2	3	9	16:32	9
16	IFK Stocksund	14	1	5	8	28:36	8