Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FBK Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gibson W.
44' Event
Lindahl J.
48' Event
Gibson W.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FBK Karlstad and Hammarby TFF finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby TFF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
FBK Karlstad
35%
Draws
24%
Hammarby TFF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Hammarby TFF haven't matched FBK Karlstad's recent run of results.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Hammarby TFF
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.79 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad
1:1
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
0:7
Oct 20, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad
3:3
May 17, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hammarby TFF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 34 / 100
Hammarby TFF 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Hammarby TFF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby TFF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hammarby TFF let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

FBK Karlstad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Hammarby TFF
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
23 Aug
FC Arlanda
5 : 1
FBK Karlstad
19 Aug
FBK Karlstad
1 : 0
Sundsvall
16 Aug
FBK Karlstad
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
09 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
FBK Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

Hammarby TFF

(Away)
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
Pitea
14 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Hammarby TFF
09 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
FBK Karlstad
03 Aug
Hammarby TFF
5 : 1
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 19 12 3 4 41:17 39
2 Hammarby TFF 19 11 5 3 45:15 38
3 Karlstad 19 11 4 4 31:17 37
4 FC Arlanda 19 10 6 3 33:22 36
5 AFC Eskilstuna 19 10 4 5 33:26 34
6 FBK Karlstad 19 9 4 6 31:31 31
7 Enkopings SK 19 9 2 8 27:31 29
8 Assyriska FF 19 7 5 7 32:31 26
9 Karlbergs 19 7 4 8 28:28 25
10 Gefle 19 7 3 9 25:37 24
11 Vasalund 19 6 5 8 30:38 23
12 Umea FC 19 5 5 9 24:32 20
13 Sollentuna 19 4 8 7 18:27 20
14 FC Jarfalla 19 4 3 12 23:41 15
15 Pitea 19 2 6 11 21:40 12
16 IFK Stocksund 19 2 5 12 38:47 11
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)