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FBK Karlstad vs IFK Stocksund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Bjork N.
46'
Sub
Engstrom K. In: Wagberg N.
Out: Engstrom K.
46'
Sub
Fredriksson L. In: Bandeh K.
Out: Fredriksson L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between FBK Karlstad and IFK Stocksund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
FBK Karlstad
17%
Draws
70%
IFK Stocksund
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: IFK Stocksund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FBK Karlstad come out ahead of IFK Stocksund on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans IFK Stocksund's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FBK Karlstad have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 13%
IFK Stocksund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad IFK Stocksund
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs IFK Stocksund
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
IFK Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad
2:2
Apr 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs IFK Stocksund
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahlstedt D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

IFK Stocksund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 14 / 100
IFK Stocksund 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad IFK Stocksund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

IFK Stocksund has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: IFK Stocksund registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS IFK Stocksund
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368