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FBK Karlstad vs Pitea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
FBK Karlstad Logo

FBK Karlstad

4 - 3
FT
Pitea Logo

Pitea

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wikstrom I.
11' Event
Steen L.
36'
Sub
Jordan L. In: Naslund H.
Out: Jordan L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FBK Karlstad
35%
Draws
30%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBK Karlstad lately — more wins on the board than Pitea.
  • FBK Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FBK Karlstad have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 20%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Pitea
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Pitea
4:3
May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FBK Karlstad
1:5
Oct 6, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FBK Karlstad
2:3
Jun 23, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Pitea
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Steen L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Navassardian E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Wikstrom I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naslund H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 40 / 100
Pitea 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pitea conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: FBK Karlstad scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FBK Karlstad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Pitea
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
31 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale
24 Oct
Gefle
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
17 Oct
FBK Karlstad
3 : 1
Karlbergs
11 Oct
Assyriska FF
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
01 Nov
Pitea
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
25 Oct
Enkopings SK
3 : 1
Pitea
18 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Sollentuna
11 Oct
Gefle
3 : 3
Pitea
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)