Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Steen L.
Assist: Hagelberg A.
46'
Sub
Olsson W. In: Sandstad A.
Out: Olsson W.
59'
Dejene M.

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
FBK Karlstad
15%
Draws
17%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad have won more games recently than Vasalund.
  • FBK Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 14%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Vasalund
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.85 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad
1:3
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund
1:2
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Steen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandstad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 48 / 100
Vasalund 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBK Karlstad scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Vasalund has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FBK Karlstad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Vasalund
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
23 Aug
FC Arlanda
5 : 1
FBK Karlstad
19 Aug
FBK Karlstad
1 : 0
Sundsvall
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
06 Sept
Vasalund
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
30 Aug
Umea FC
3 : 2
Vasalund
23 Aug
Vasalund
4 : 3
IFK Stocksund
20 Aug
Vasalund
1 : 2
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 22 15 3 4 53:19 48
2 AFC Eskilstuna 22 13 4 5 41:29 43
3 Hammarby TFF 22 12 6 4 46:18 42
4 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
5 FC Arlanda 22 11 6 5 36:25 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 22 8 5 9 37:39 29
9 Karlbergs 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
10 Gefle 22 8 3 11 28:41 27
11 Umea FC 22 7 5 10 28:37 26
12 Vasalund 22 6 6 10 33:43 24
13 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
14 FC Jarfalla 22 5 3 14 29:47 18
15 Pitea 22 3 6 13 24:43 15
16 IFK Stocksund 22 3 5 14 43:55 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)