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Stadium Background

FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Örsholmens IP, Karlstad
FBK Karlstad Logo

FBK Karlstad

2 - 1
FT
Vasalund Logo

Vasalund

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Steen L.
Assist: Hagelberg A.
46'
Sub
Olsson W. In: Sandstad A.
Out: Olsson W.
59'
Dejene M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FBK Karlstad
20%
Draws
29%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad have won more games recently than Vasalund.
  • FBK Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 20%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Vasalund
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad
1:3
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund
1:2
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Steen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandstad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 85 / 100
Vasalund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FBK Karlstad scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vasalund has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FBK Karlstad stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FBK Karlstad VS Vasalund
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FBK Karlstad

(Home)
31 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale
24 Oct
Gefle
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
17 Oct
FBK Karlstad
3 : 1
Karlbergs
11 Oct
Assyriska FF
1 : 0
FBK Karlstad
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
01 Nov
Vasalund
2 : 1
Karlstad
24 Oct
Sollentuna
2 : 0
Vasalund
18 Oct
Vasalund
0 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)