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FBK Karlstad vs Yxhults IK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad play Yxhults IK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023. FBK Karlstad are favorites here. Recently, FBK Karlstad averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Yxhults IK averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, FBK Karlstad won 2, Yxhults IK won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for FBK Karlstad and 1.06 for Yxhults IK. This points to a FBK Karlstad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
FBK Karlstad
15%
Draws
16%
Yxhults IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad picked up more points recently compared to Yxhults IK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 22%
Yxhults IK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FBK Karlstad Yxhults IK
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 23 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 2.03 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Yxhults IK vs FBK Karlstad
1:3
Jun 22, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Yxhults IK
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Karlstad 67 / 100
Yxhults IK 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FBK Karlstad Yxhults IK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick FBK Karlstad & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FBK Karlstad attacking → ← attacking Yxhults IK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Karlstad scored in 87% of their last 38 games.

Yxhults IK let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

FBK Karlstad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yxhults IK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 20
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Torslanda26185359:1959
2FBK Karlstad26185355:3059
3IFK Skovde26156559:2851
4Herrestads AIF26145739:2347
5Stenungsunds IF26126841:3442
6Grebbestad261061039:4936
7Vanersborgs FK26951234:4932
8Forward26941341:4231
9Lidkoping26710930:3231
10Gauthiod26931437:4330
11Saffle SK26841426:4328
12IK Zenith26751437:4626
13Nordvarmland26621826:5820
14Yxhults IK26541731:5819