Sport Picks

Lithuania

A Lyga 2011 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas

FK Klaipeda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FBK Kaunas play FK Klaipeda in the A Lyga 2011. FBK Kaunas are favorites here. Recently, FBK Kaunas averaged 1.03 goals scored and 4.18 conceded. FK Klaipeda averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, FBK Kaunas won 2, FK Klaipeda won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 1, 2011 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for FBK Kaunas and 2.94 for FK Klaipeda. This points to a FBK Kaunas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

FBK Kaunas

16%

Draws

24%

FK Klaipeda

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: FBK Kaunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

FBK Kaunas picked up more points recently compared to FK Klaipeda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 2.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

FBK Kaunas Clean Sheet 10%

FK Klaipeda Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FBK Kaunas	FK Klaipeda
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	6	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	25	25
Goals Scored	1.03	0.63
Goals Conceded	4.18	2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2011 TOPLYGA

FBK Kaunas vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

5:1

Jul 22, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs FBK Kaunas

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

May 1, 2011 TOPLYGA

FBK Kaunas vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FBK Kaunas 56 / 100

FK Klaipeda 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FBK Kaunas FK Klaipeda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Kaunas Win (1)

Secondary Pick FBK Kaunas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FBK Kaunas attacking → ← attacking FK Klaipeda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FBK Kaunas scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

FK Klaipeda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

FBK Kaunas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Klaipeda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 9

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

4.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ekranas	33	24	8	1	68:14	80
2	Zalgiris	33	22	6	5	56:17	72
3	Suduva	33	19	8	6	70:19	65
4	Siauliai	33	16	11	6	45:30	59
5	Kruoja	33	13	10	10	43:34	49
6	Banga	33	13	7	13	51:37	46
7	Tauras Taurage	33	11	12	10	50:38	45
8	Dainava Alytus	33	13	6	14	53:54	45
9	FK Atmosfera	33	9	9	15	36:54	36
10	FBK Kaunas	33	8	8	17	41:53	26
11	Atlantas	33	3	2	28	28:121	11
12	FK Klaipeda	33	2	3	28	19:89	9