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Stadium Background

FC 08 Homburg vs Alzenau

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC 08 Homburg play Alzenau in the Regionalliga Sudwest. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC 08 Homburg averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Alzenau averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, FC 08 Homburg won 3, Alzenau won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for FC 08 Homburg and 1.44 for Alzenau. This points to a FC 08 Homburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
FC 08 Homburg
23%
Draws
24%
Alzenau
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: FC 08 Homburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • FC 08 Homburg picked up more points recently compared to Alzenau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 16%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 08 Homburg Alzenau
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.43 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Alzenau
5:2
Nov 8, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Alzenau vs FC 08 Homburg
1:1
Jun 5, 2021 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Alzenau
3:0
Dec 19, 2020 Regionalliga Sudwest
Alzenau vs FC 08 Homburg
2:2
Nov 23, 2019 Regionalliga Sudwest
Alzenau vs FC 08 Homburg
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Qenaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ristl M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Alzenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutakhrit J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 08 Homburg 51 / 100
Alzenau 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 08 Homburg Alzenau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC 08 Homburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC 08 Homburg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC 08 Homburg attacking → ← attacking Alzenau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC 08 Homburg scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Alzenau let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FC 08 Homburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alzenau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 28
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522