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Stadium Background

FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kober M.
31' Event
Adomah B.
40' Event
Jorg N.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between FC 08 Homburg and Freiburg II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC 08 Homburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
FC 08 Homburg
28%
Draws
50%
Freiburg II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Freiburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC 08 Homburg come out ahead of Freiburg II on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Freiburg II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 16%
Freiburg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 08 Homburg Freiburg II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg
5:3
Mar 9, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg
3:2
Aug 30, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendler M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kober M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Freiburg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Adomah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 08 Homburg 23 / 100
Freiburg II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 08 Homburg Freiburg II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC 08 Homburg's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Freiburg II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Freiburg II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC 08 Homburg VS Freiburg II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522