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FC 08 Homburg vs Fulda-Lehnerz Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Busch S.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Kohler N.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between FC 08 Homburg and Fulda-Lehnerz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FC 08 Homburg
20%
Draws
0%
Fulda-Lehnerz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC 08 Homburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • FC 08 Homburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC 08 Homburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 20%
Fulda-Lehnerz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC 08 Homburg Fulda-Lehnerz
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.81 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Fulda-Lehnerz
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs FC 08 Homburg
3:3
May 17, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Fulda-Lehnerz vs FC 08 Homburg
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Fulda-Lehnerz
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Fulda-Lehnerz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fulda-Lehnerz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohler N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC 08 Homburg 85 / 100
Fulda-Lehnerz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC 08 Homburg Fulda-Lehnerz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC 08 Homburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulda-Lehnerz has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Fulda-Lehnerz has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC 08 Homburg found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC 08 Homburg VS Fulda-Lehnerz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC 08 Homburg

(Home)
26 Sept
TSV Steinbach Haiger
1 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2
Kassel
12 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 : 2
FC 08 Homburg
09 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 1
Kaiserslautern II
06 Sept
VfR Mannheim
1 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 7

Fulda-Lehnerz

(Away)
26 Sept
VfR Mannheim
5 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
19 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
2 : 3
Freiburg II
12 Sept
Stutt. Kickers
2 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
09 Sept
Fulda-Lehnerz
1 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt II
06 Sept
Kaiserslautern II
1 : 0
Fulda-Lehnerz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 86:43 68
2 Freiberg 34 18 8 8 68:38 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 64:48 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 71:42 56
5 TSV Steinbach Haiger 34 16 8 10 78:58 56
6 Kassel 34 15 9 10 62:51 54
7 Stutt. Kickers 34 17 3 14 51:44 54
8 Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 53:56 54
9 Mainz II 34 14 11 9 52:45 53
10 Fulda-Lehnerz 34 13 10 11 51:44 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 74:73 48
12 Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 64:65 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 48:52 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 57:58 43
15 Alzenau 34 7 6 21 45:74 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 40:83 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 38:87 25
18 Bahlinger 34 4 10 20 34:75 22
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