Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Alliance vs Elva

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Orlov M.
24'
Wadjonre J.
27'
Sub
Wadjonre J. In: Butenko A.
Out: Wadjonre J.

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Esiliiga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Alliance
20%
Draws
57%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elva lately — more wins on the board than FC Alliance.
  • Win probability leans Elva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Elva have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 17%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alliance Elva
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.85
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Elva
2:0
Jul 2, 2023 Esiliiga
Elva vs FC Alliance
3:0
May 10, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Elva
1:2
May 6, 2023 Esiliiga
Elva vs FC Alliance
3:0
Sep 12, 2022 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Elva
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 10 / 100
Elva 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alliance Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alliance scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Elva let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Alliance went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elva
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alliance

(Home)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
30 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
24 Aug
Elva
0 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0
Elva
12 Aug
Elva
:
Raasiku Joker
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)