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FC Alliance vs FC Tallinn

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Borolinstsikov A.
28'
Mitsuk G.
29'
Jekimov M.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between FC Alliance and FC Tallinn finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tallinn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
FC Alliance
20%
Draws
51%
FC Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tallinn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on FC Tallinn taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Tallinn have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 17%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alliance FC Tallinn
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs FC Tallinn
1:5
Aug 12, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance
2:1
Jun 4, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance
5:0
Apr 23, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs FC Tallinn
2:3
Feb 6, 2022 Club Friendly
FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitsuk G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Timoska A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nesterov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 10 / 100
FC Tallinn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alliance FC Tallinn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tallinn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tallinn let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

FC Alliance scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FC Alliance has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Tallinn
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alliance

(Home)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

FC Tallinn

(Away)
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0
Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)