Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2023

FC Alliance

2 - 3

FC Tallinn

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Borolinstsikov A.

28'

Mitsuk G.

29'

Jekimov M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between FC Alliance and FC Tallinn finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tallinn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

FC Alliance

20%

Draws

38%

FC Tallinn

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Alliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

FC Tallinn carry the better recent record into this one.
42% — that's where the model lands on FC Alliance taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and FC Tallinn have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

FC Alliance Clean Sheet 15%

FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Alliance	FC Tallinn
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	4	12
Draws	2	6
Losses	24	16
Goals Scored	0	2
Goals Conceded	0	3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Alliance vs FC Tallinn

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

1:5

Aug 12, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Jun 4, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

5:0

Apr 23, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Alliance vs FC Tallinn

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Feb 6, 2022 Club Friendly

FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlov M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mitsuk G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Timoska A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nesterov K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 41 / 100

FC Tallinn 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Alliance FC Tallinn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tallinn let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

FC Alliance scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: FC Tallinn registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Tallinn

0 Goals Scored 2

0 Goals Conceded 3

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nomme Utd	36	28	6	2	114:29	90
2	Viimsi JK	36	21	8	7	67:35	71
3	Flora Tallinn U21	36	22	3	11	86:53	69
4	Levadia U21	36	16	9	11	57:46	57
5	Tabasalu	36	18	1	17	81:70	55
6	FC Tallinn	36	16	4	16	72:65	52
7	Paide Linnameeskond U21	36	12	5	19	66:82	41
8	Elva	36	12	4	20	45:75	40
9	Legion	36	5	6	25	37:97	21
10	FC Alliance	36	6	2	28	50:123	20