Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Alliance vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Vitrikus A.
14'
Kristal P.
15' Event
Orlov M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between FC Alliance and Levadia U21 finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Alliance
15%
Draws
51%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Levadia U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 18%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Alliance Levadia U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 1.23 2
Goals Conceded 3.43 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2023 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Alliance
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Levadia U21
1:2
May 29, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Levadia U21
2:6
Mar 9, 2023 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Alliance
4:0
Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs FC Alliance
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Velikanov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grankin N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vassiljev N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Alliance 36 / 100
Levadia U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Alliance Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

FC Alliance's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Levadia U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Levadia U21
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Alliance

(Home)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
20 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 2
Levadia U21
15 Aug
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Levadia U21
08 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)