Sport Picks
FC Alpendorada vs Machico
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B Municipal Stadium Alpendorada, Alpendorada 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between FC Alpendorada and Machico finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Alpendorada carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Alpendorada | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Alpendorada Compare
Machico Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Alpendorada scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Machico has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.
FC Alpendorada has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Alpendorada
(Home)Machico
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Florgrade | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | SC Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Uniao Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Cinfaes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Castro Daire | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Beira Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 12 | Guarda FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 13 | Estrela Calheta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
