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FC Ararat W vs Elva W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
FC Ararat W Logo

FC Ararat W

Sat, Aug 23, 2025
VS
04:00 PM
Elva W Logo

Elva W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Ararat W host Elva W in the Meistriliiga Women 2025. FC Ararat W are expected to control this from the start. FC Ararat W have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Elva W's 1.88 scored and 4 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Ararat W have won 2 to Elva W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.60 xG vs 1.49) point toward FC Ararat W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ararat W
15%
Draws
85%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ararat W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Ararat W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 16%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat W Elva W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Elva W
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
0:4
Nov 23, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Elva W
0:2
Nov 1, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat W 84 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

FC Ararat W scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Elva W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elva W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 4
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
01 Aug
Elva W
2 : 8
Saku Sporting W
26 Jul
Viimsi JK W
5 : 3
Elva W
18 Jul
Harju JK Laagri W
6 : 2
Elva W
20 Jun
Elva W
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond W
30 May
Elva W
3 : 2
Viimsi JK W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)