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FC Ararat W vs Elva W Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn
Sat, Aug 23, 2025
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ararat W host Elva W in the Meistriliiga Women 2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Ararat W have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.23 conceded recently, against Elva W's 1.32 scored and 3.88 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Ararat W have won 2 to Elva W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.35 xG vs 1.11) point toward FC Ararat W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Ararat W
15%
Draws
85%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • FC Ararat W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Ararat W a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 20%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ararat W Elva W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.23 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Elva W
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
0:4
Nov 23, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Elva W
0:2
Nov 1, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ararat W 85 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ararat W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ararat W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 32 matches.

FC Ararat W scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Elva W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elva W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Ararat W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)