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FC Arlanda vs Ostersund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Rydz S.
71' Event
Marklund S.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Marklund S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Arlanda
20%
Draws
29%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Arlanda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Arlanda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • FC Arlanda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ostersund, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 20%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Ostersund
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Svenska Cupen
FC Arlanda vs Ostersund
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Rydz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ostersund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 58 / 100
Ostersund 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ostersund let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Arlanda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Ostersund
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
31 Oct
FC Arlanda
3 : 1
AFC Eskilstuna
25 Oct
Assyriska FF
1 : 3
FC Arlanda
17 Oct
FC Arlanda
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

Ostersund

(Away)
31 Oct
Norrkoping
3 : 0
Ostersund
24 Oct
Ostersund
4 : 1
Nordic United
17 Oct
Sandviken
0 : 0
Ostersund
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Football Primetime 1
Karlskrona 0
TBD -
Helsingborg -
Lidkoping 2
Skovde 3
TBD -
Halmstad -
AC Studenterna 0
Lindo FF 4
TBD -
Malmo FF -
IFK Skovde 1
Jonkoping 0
TBD -
Falkenberg -
Olympic 5
AFC Malmo 3
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
BK Astrio 0
Angelholm 3
TBD -
Kalmar -
Landvetter 0
Dalstorps 1
TBD -
Norrby -
Viken 1
Utsikten 2
TBD -
Hacken -
Hogaborgs 2
IFK Trelleborg 1
TBD -
Oster -
Frolunda 4
Onsala 2
TBD -
Elfsborg -
Hovshaga 0
Vaxjo Norra 5
TBD -
Varnamo -
Malmslatts AIK 1
Husqvarna 5
TBD -
GAIS -
Savedalen 2
Boljan 3
TBD -
Varberg -
Rappe GOIF 1
Hassleholms IF 2
TBD -
Landskrona -
Balkan 2
Eskilsminne 3
TBD -
Orgryte -
Vastkurd 2
Trollhattan 3
TBD -
Mjallby -
Viggbyholms 0
Sollentuna 5
TBD -
Orebro -
Vendelso 1
Haninge 4
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Forssa 2
IK Franke 3
TBD -
Ljungskile -
Hudiksvall 0
Friska Viljor 1
TBD -
Sirius -
Konyaspor 0
AFC Eskilstuna 2
TBD -
Oddevold -
Sturehov IK 1
FBK Karlstad 3
TBD -
Sundsvall -
IFK Stocksund 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
IFK Ostersund 1
Kubikenborgs 0
TBD -
Degerfors -
Ragsved 0
Enkopings SK 2
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
Assyriska FF 0
Vasalund 1
TBD -
Norrkoping -
FC Jarfalla 0
FC Arlanda 2
TBD -
Ostersund -
Ostra Ersboda 2
Pitea 3
TBD -
AIK -
Bollstanas 5
Gute 2
TBD -
Nordic United -
Falu BS 1
Gefle 0
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Unik FK 0
Karlbergs 1
TBD -
Brage -
Eker Orebro 0
Karlstad 3
TBD -
Sandviken -
Final
Football Primetime 3
Helsingborg 6
Skovde 1
Halmstad 2
Lindo FF 1
Malmo FF 5
IFK Skovde 3
Falkenberg 2
Olympic 0
IFK Goteborg 5
Angelholm 0
Kalmar 7
Dalstorps 0
Norrby 2
Utsikten 1
Hacken 2
Hogaborgs 0
Oster 4
Frolunda 0
Elfsborg 4
Vaxjo Norra 1
Varnamo 3
Husqvarna 0
GAIS 7
Boljan 0
Varberg 5
Hassleholms IF 0
Landskrona 1
Eskilsminne 1
Orgryte 3
Trollhattan 1
Mjallby 0
Sollentuna 1
Orebro 4
Haninge 1
Djurgarden 7
IK Franke 0
Ljungskile 1
Friska Viljor 0
Sirius 2
AFC Eskilstuna 4
Oddevold 5
FBK Karlstad 1
Sundsvall 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 0
Hammarby 3
IFK Ostersund 1
Degerfors 5
Enkopings SK 1
Vasteras SK 2
Vasalund 1
Norrkoping 2
FC Arlanda 1
Ostersund 2
Pitea 0
AIK 3
Bollstanas 0
Nordic United 2
Falu BS 2
Brommapojkarna 1
Karlbergs 2
Brage 0
Karlstad 0
Sandviken 2