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Stadium Background

FC Arlanda vs Sollentuna

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Arlanda play Sollentuna in the Division 1 - Norra. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Arlanda averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sollentuna averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, FC Arlanda won 0, Sollentuna won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FC Arlanda and 1.25 for Sollentuna. This points to a FC Arlanda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FC Arlanda
11%
Draws
9%
Sollentuna
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Arlanda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sollentuna.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for FC Arlanda.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 - Norra provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 19%
Sollentuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Sollentuna
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 14
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Sollentuna
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Sollentuna vs FC Arlanda
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Arlanda vs Sollentuna
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs FC Arlanda
2:0
May 16, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Sollentuna
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kleist L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sollentuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Rashidi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 76 / 100
Sollentuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Sollentuna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Sollentuna let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FC Arlanda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sollentuna lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Sollentuna
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368