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FC Arlanda vs Umea FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen, Märsta
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Wagnsson S.
52'
Njie M.
62'
Sub
Charbachi A. In: Hansen A.
Out: Charbachi A.

AI Match Summary

Umea FC in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umea FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Arlanda
15%
Draws
42%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Umea FC haven't matched FC Arlanda's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 16%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arlanda Umea FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Umea FC
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs FC Arlanda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Rydz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Umea FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagnsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bawa Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 30 / 100
Umea FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arlanda Umea FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Umea FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

FC Arlanda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Umea FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arlanda

(Home)
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
FC Arlanda
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

Umea FC

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Jarfalla
1 : 2
Umea FC
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3
Umea FC
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
6 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
7 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
8 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
9 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
10 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)