Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Midgardsvallen

FC Arlanda

2 - 1

Vasalund

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Charbachi A.

45'

Westin T.

46'

Sub

Smedberg Lagh A. In: Karo A.

Out: Smedberg Lagh A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Arlanda in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Arlanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FC Arlanda

Draws

Vasalund

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to FC Arlanda lately — more wins on the board than Vasalund.
Win probability leans FC Arlanda's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%

FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 20%

Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Arlanda	Vasalund
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	13	11
Draws	8	6
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra

FC Arlanda vs Vasalund

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly

Vasalund vs FC Arlanda

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Oct 26, 2025 Division 1 - Norra

FC Arlanda vs Vasalund

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

4:1

Apr 27, 2025 Division 1 - Norra

Vasalund vs FC Arlanda

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Charbachi A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Elfstrom V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arlanda 85 / 100

Vasalund 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Arlanda Vasalund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Arlanda scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Vasalund conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Solid form: FC Arlanda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Arlanda VS Vasalund

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	14	10	2	2	38:11	32
2	Karlstad	14	9	3	2	22:9	30
3	FC Arlanda	14	8	5	1	23:10	29
4	FC Stockholm Internazionale	14	8	3	3	28:14	27
5	Enkopings SK	14	8	1	5	24:23	25
6	FBK Karlstad	14	7	3	4	23:20	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	14	5	4	5	23:24	19
8	Karlbergs	14	5	3	6	23:23	18
9	Umea FC	14	4	4	6	20:24	16
10	FC Jarfalla	14	4	3	7	21:27	15
11	Vasalund	14	4	3	7	20:30	15
12	Assyriska FF	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
13	Gefle	14	4	2	8	17:29	14
14	Sollentuna	14	2	7	5	12:19	13
15	Pitea	14	2	3	9	16:32	9
16	IFK Stocksund	14	1	5	8	28:36	8