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FC Arta vs Gendarmerie

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
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AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between FC Arta and Gendarmerie finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
FC Arta
35%
Draws
40%
Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gendarmerie come out ahead of FC Arta on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gendarmerie taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
FC Arta Clean Sheet 15%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Arta Gendarmerie
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2025 Division 1
FC Arta vs Gendarmerie
1:1
Dec 20, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs FC Arta
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Arta 23 / 100
Gendarmerie 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Arta Gendarmerie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendarmerie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Arta scored in 67% of their last 18 outings.

Defensive concern: Gendarmerie conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

FC Arta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Arta VS Gendarmerie
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Arta

(Home)
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
04 May
FC Arta
0 : 0
Garde-Cotes
25 Apr
Hopital
1 : 1
FC Arta
18 Apr
FC Arta
4 : 2
Dikhil
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
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Gendarmerie

(Away)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)