Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC ASA Tg. Mures vs Poli Iasi

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Trans-Sil, Târgu Mureş
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Birnoi C.
29'
Bogdan V.
31' Event
Cruceru A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025/2026 game between FC ASA Tg. Mures and Poli Iasi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC ASA Tg. Mures.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FC ASA Tg. Mures
28%
Draws
22%
Poli Iasi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC ASA Tg. Mures

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Poli Iasi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC ASA Tg. Mures a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
FC ASA Tg. Mures Clean Sheet 68%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC ASA Tg. Mures Poli Iasi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs FC ASA Tg. Mures
0:1
Nov 10, 2025 Liga 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures vs Poli Iasi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC ASA Tg. Mures Compare

Top Goalscorer Birnoi C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cruceru A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Poli Iasi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC ASA Tg. Mures 59 / 100
Poli Iasi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC ASA Tg. Mures Poli Iasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: FC ASA Tg. Mures stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC ASA Tg. Mures found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Poli Iasi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC ASA Tg. Mures VS Poli Iasi
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
63% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

FC ASA Tg. Mures

(Home)
17 Jul
FC ASA Tg. Mures
2 : 1
Metaloglobus Bucharest
14 Jul
FC ASA Tg. Mures
1 : 1
Popesti Leordeni
12 Jul
Sepsi
1 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
10 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
09 May
CS Din. Bucuresti
1 : 3
FC ASA Tg. Mures
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Poli Iasi

(Away)
09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0
Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0
Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corvinul Hunedoara21165037:1353
2Sepsi21135334:1844
3Chindia Targoviste21123638:2039
4FC Bihor21123640:2439
5Voluntari21116430:1639
6Steaua Bucuresti21123636:2739
7FC ASA Tg. Mures21114637:2237
8CSM Resita21103835:2933
9FC Bacau2196628:2633
10Metalul Buzau21102933:2632
11Poli Iasi2194825:2231
12Afumati2193930:2630
13Concordia21831029:2427
14Gloria Bistrita2175929:2926
15CSM Slatina2175927:2826
16CSC Dumbravita21741025:3325
17Selimbar21551127:3220
18Ceahlaul21531320:4318
19CS Din. Bucuresti21371119:3516
20Tunari21371119:3616
21CSM Satu Mare21421519:4514
22Campulung21241510:5310
Promotion - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)