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FC Asgabat vs Arkadag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Asgabat host Arkadag in the Yokary Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: FC Asgabat at 1.14 goals for, 2.04 against; Arkadag at 3.48 for, 0.48 against. Head-to-head, FC Asgabat have won 0 to Arkadag's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.31) point toward Arkadag. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
FC Asgabat
20%
Draws
71%
Arkadag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arkadag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Arkadag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Arkadag taking it.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arkadag have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%
Arkadag Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Asgabat Arkadag
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 29
Draws 4 0
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.14 3.48
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs FC Asgabat
3:0
Jun 13, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Arkadag
1:7
May 3, 2026 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs FC Asgabat
3:0
Dec 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Arkadag
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Yokary Liga
Arkadag vs FC Asgabat
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Asgabat 10 / 100
Arkadag 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Asgabat Arkadag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arkadag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

FC Asgabat's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Arkadag has conceded goals in 39% of their last 31 outings.

FC Asgabat went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Asgabat VS Arkadag
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Asgabat

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Asgabat
2 : 5
Ahal
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
26 Aug
Arkadag
3 : 0
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Nebitci
1 : 1
FC Asgabat
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Arkadag

(Away)
03 Oct
Arkadag
5 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
28 Sept
Ahal
0 : 4
Arkadag
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
15 Sept
Arkadag
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
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