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FC Astana 2 vs FK Kyran

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Astana 2 play FK Kyran in the First Division 2023. FC Astana 2 are favorites here. Recently, FC Astana 2 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. FK Kyran averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, FC Astana 2 won 1, FK Kyran won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 18, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for FC Astana 2 and 1.38 for FK Kyran. This points to a FC Astana 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
FC Astana 2
15%
Draws
20%
FK Kyran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 picked up more points recently compared to FK Kyran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 17%
FK Kyran Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 FK Kyran
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 11 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.62 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs FK Kyran
2:1
May 9, 2023 First League
FK Kyran vs FC Astana 2
3:0
Sep 30, 2022 First League
FC Astana 2 vs FK Kyran
2:3
Jun 25, 2022 First League
FK Kyran vs FC Astana 2
6:1
Aug 29, 2020 First League
FK Kyran vs FC Astana 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yelubayev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Kyran Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuanyshbay D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 62 / 100
FK Kyran 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 FK Kyran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC Astana 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Astana 2 attacking → ← attacking FK Kyran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

FK Kyran let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FC Astana 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Kyran lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 3
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Yelimay Semey28244076:1776
2Turan28223385:2769
3Zhenis28193664:3360
4Akzhayik Uralsk28173863:2954
5FK Kyran281621055:5750
6Kairat Almaty 2281051358:5335
7Khan Tengri281051339:3835
8Arys281031540:6233
9Jas Qyran28951450:5332
10Turkistan28951447:5832
11Taraz28941547:5731
12FC Ekibastuz28871346:6431
13Aktobe 228721937:7723
14Akademiya Ontustik28561746:7521
15FC Astana 228612132:8519