Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Token A.
12' Event
Tokenov T.
14' Event
Bagdat R.
Assist: Abish M.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Astana 2
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 have won more games recently than FC Astana 2.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 22
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 2.5 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:3
Sep 15, 2023 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2
5:1
May 25, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
3:1
Oct 17, 2022 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:2
Jul 10, 2022 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokenov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagdat R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerimkhan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Kairat Almaty 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Astana 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FC Astana 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kairat Almaty 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Kairat Almaty 2
2.5 Goals Scored 3.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
17 Jul
FC Astana 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 1
FC Astana 2
02 Jul
FC Astana 2
6 : 1
Kaspij Aktau 2
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
18 Jun
FC Astana 2
2 : 3
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

Kairat Almaty 2

(Away)
17 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
6 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
03 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Taraz
25 Jun
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 0
Khan Tengri
18 Jun
FC Astana 2
2 : 3
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)