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FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Token A.
12' Event
Tokenov T.
14' Event
Bagdat R.
Assist: Abish M.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Astana 2
20%
Draws
52%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 have won more games recently than FC Astana 2.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.72 2.69
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2
2:2
Jun 18, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:3
Sep 15, 2023 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2
5:1
May 25, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
3:1
Oct 17, 2022 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokenov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagdat R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerimkhan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 26 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Kairat Almaty 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: FC Astana 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kairat Almaty 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Kairat Almaty 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
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Kairat Almaty 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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