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FC Astana 2 vs Khan Tengri

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Astana 2 play Khan Tengri in the First League. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Astana 2 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. Khan Tengri averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, FC Astana 2 won 1, Khan Tengri won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 26, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FC Astana 2 and 1.63 for Khan Tengri. This points to a FC Astana 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Astana 2
15%
Draws
34%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 picked up more points recently compared to Khan Tengri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Khan Tengri
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.62 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Khan Tengri
2:1
Aug 4, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Khan Tengri
1:2
Apr 28, 2023 First League
Khan Tengri vs FC Astana 2
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Amangeldinov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mustafin B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Bizhan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 49 / 100
Khan Tengri 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Khan Tengri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Astana 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Astana 2 attacking → ← attacking Khan Tengri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Khan Tengri let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

FC Astana 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Khan Tengri lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 24
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kairat Almaty 212102040:532
2Shakhter Karagandy12101135:531
3Turan1281325:1025
4FC Astana 21262423:2020
5Akademiya Ontustik1262418:1520
6Khan Tengri1252516:2017
7FC Ekibastuz1245315:2017
8Taraz1251619:1816
9Jaiyq1251610:1716
10Aktobe 21234521:3713
11Kaspij Aktau 21233615:2212
12Arys1221913:277
13Tobol 21214721:377
14Yelimay Semey 2120398:263