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FC Astana 2 vs Turan Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Gerasimov M.
Assist: Narzildaev D.
90' Event
Aymanov M.
Assist: Narzildaev D.
90' Event
Valiullin R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Astana 2 and Turan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Astana 2
15%
Draws
54%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of FC Astana 2 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Turan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Turan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Turan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
5:1
May 7, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:3
Oct 19, 2023 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
8:0
Jul 7, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
1:3
Oct 16, 2020 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerasimov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aymanov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 34 / 100
Turan 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Turan has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

FC Astana 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Turan
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
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Turan

(Away)
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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