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FC Astana 2 vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Gerasimov M.
Assist: Narzildaev D.
90' Event
Aymanov M.
Assist: Narzildaev D.
90' Event
Valiullin R.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between FC Astana 2 and Turan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Astana 2
15%
Draws
57%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of FC Astana 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Turan a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Turan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Turan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Turan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
5:1
May 7, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:3
Oct 19, 2023 First League
Turan vs FC Astana 2
8:0
Jul 7, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
1:3
Oct 16, 2020 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Turan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerasimov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aymanov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 10 / 100
Turan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Turan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

FC Astana 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Turan
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
07 Aug
Turan
5 : 1
FC Astana 2
31 Jul
FC Astana 2
2 : 0
Arys
23 Jul
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
FC Astana 2
17 Jul
FC Astana 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 1
FC Astana 2
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Turan

(Away)
07 Aug
Turan
5 : 1
FC Astana 2
30 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Turan
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
16 Jul
Arys
0 : 4
Turan
10 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy
1 : 0
Turan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 17 15 1 1 45:6 46
2 Kairat Almaty 2 17 13 3 1 56:10 42
3 Turan 17 12 1 4 37:13 37
4 Akademiya Ontustik 17 9 2 6 28:23 29
5 FC Astana 2 17 8 2 7 29:29 26
6 Jaiyq 17 8 2 7 17:20 26
7 Taraz 17 7 2 8 23:23 23
8 FC Ekibastuz 17 6 5 6 21:30 23
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 17 6 3 8 25:30 21
10 Khan Tengri 17 5 2 10 19:32 17
11 Aktobe 2 17 4 5 8 28:52 17
12 Arys 17 4 1 12 19:38 13
13 Yelimay Semey 2 17 3 3 11 13:30 12
14 Tobol 2 17 1 4 12 24:48 7
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