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FC Astana 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Astana 2 host Yelimay Semey 2 in the First League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: FC Astana 2 at 1.72 goals for, 2.41 against; Yelimay Semey 2 at 0.79 for, 2.08 against. Head-to-head, FC Astana 2 have won 0 to Yelimay Semey 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.50) point toward FC Astana 2. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Astana 2
15%
Draws
0%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 have won more games recently than Yelimay Semey 2.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FC Astana 2 taking it.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana 2 Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 11 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.72 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs FC Astana 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 2 84 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana 2 Yelimay Semey 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 24 matches.

Yelimay Semey 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Astana 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana 2 VS Yelimay Semey 2
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
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Yelimay Semey 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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