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FC Astana vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Abrayev M.
Assist: Karaman D.
46'
Sub
Kpozo P. In: Askarov M.
Out: Kpozo P.
47'
Tomasov M.

AI Match Summary

FC Astana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Astana
33%
Draws
27%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana have won more games recently than Zhenis.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 20%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana Zhenis
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Zhenis
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs FC Astana
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs FC Astana
3:2
May 24, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Zhenis
4:2
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Zhenis vs FC Astana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrayev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zhenis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 40 / 100
Zhenis 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Astana's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zhenis has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: FC Astana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana VS Zhenis
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana

(Home)
16 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 4
Dinamo Tirana
12 Jul
FC Astana
3 : 2
Aktobe
09 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
0 : 1
FC Astana
03 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 0
Zhenis
28 Jun
Zhenis
2 : 2
FC Astana
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Zhenis

(Away)
11 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 1
Zhenis
03 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 0
Zhenis
28 Jun
Zhenis
2 : 2
FC Astana
20 Jun
Zhenis
0 : 0
Ertis Pavlodar
14 Jun
Ulytau
2 : 1
Zhenis
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)