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FC Astana vs Zhenis

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Abrayev M.
Assist: Karaman D.
46'
Sub
Kpozo P. In: Askarov M.
Out: Kpozo P.
47'
Tomasov M.

AI Match Summary

FC Astana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Astana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
FC Astana
15%
Draws
32%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana have won more games recently than Zhenis.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 17%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana Zhenis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
FC Astana vs Zhenis
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs FC Astana
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs FC Astana
3:2
May 24, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Zhenis
4:2
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Zhenis vs FC Astana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrayev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zhenis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana 84 / 100
Zhenis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Astana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Astana scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Zhenis has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FC Astana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Astana VS Zhenis
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Astana

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3
FC Astana
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
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Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)