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FC Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Astana W play Yelimay Semey W in the League Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Astana W averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Yelimay Semey W averaged 2.93 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, FC Astana W won 1, Yelimay Semey W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for FC Astana W and 2.75 for Yelimay Semey W. This points to a Yelimay Semey W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Astana W
16%
Draws
48%
Yelimay Semey W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Yelimay Semey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Astana W picked up more points recently compared to Yelimay Semey W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
FC Astana W Clean Sheet 10%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Astana W Yelimay Semey W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.03 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 League Women
FC Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
4:0
Aug 4, 2025 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs FC Astana W
3:2
May 5, 2025 League Women
FC Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pazyl A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beibut A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Yelimay Semey W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Astana W 34 / 100
Yelimay Semey W 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Astana W Yelimay Semey W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yelimay Semey W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Astana W attacking → ← attacking Yelimay Semey W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Yelimay Semey W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

FC Astana W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yelimay Semey W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 56
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BIIK Shymkent W880076:024
2Tomiris-Turan W870122:221
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W851211:1316
4Kairat W841320:1013
5Atyrau W83238:1911
6Ordabasy W831410:2210
7Zhetysu W921611:247
8Ulytau W80171:331
9Kaspij Aktau W70160:361
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aktobe W101000104:130
2Zhenis Astana W971140:1822
3Kyzylzhar W952229:1017
4Yelimay Semey W1051426:2016
5FC Astana W950417:2215
6Tobol W940511:2712
7Ertis Pavlodar W932412:1311
8Shakhter Karagandy W92165:527
9Okzhetpes W91088:513
10Altai W90185:431