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FC Bacau vs FCM Ungheni

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AI Match Summary

FC Bacau play FCM Ungheni in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Bacau averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. FCM Ungheni averaged 3.5 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, FC Bacau won 1, FCM Ungheni won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for FC Bacau and 2.56 for FCM Ungheni. This points to a FC Bacau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
FC Bacau
6%
Draws
90%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Bacau.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FCM Ungheni.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bacau FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Bacau vs FCM Ungheni
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bacau 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bacau FCM Ungheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Bacau scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

FCM Ungheni let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

FC Bacau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FCM Ungheni lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Bacau VS FCM Ungheni
1.25 Goals Scored 3.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%