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FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistrita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Baza Sportiva FC Bacau, Ruși-Ciutea
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Bacau host Gloria Bistrita in the Liga 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gloria Bistrita have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while FC Bacau have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Gloria Bistrita slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 0.94) point toward Gloria Bistrita. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Bacau
30%
Draws
23%
Gloria Bistrita
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Bacau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gloria Bistrita carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Bacau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 20%
Gloria Bistrita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bacau Gloria Bistrita
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Gloria Bistrita vs FC Bacau
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 2
FC Bacau vs Gloria Bistrita
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bacau 85 / 100
Gloria Bistrita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bacau Gloria Bistrita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Bacau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Bacau scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Gloria Bistrita let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

FC Bacau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Bacau VS Gloria Bistrita
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Bacau

(Home)
03 Oct
Otelul
1 : 1
FC Bacau
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1
FC Bacau
06 Sept
FC Bacau
6 : 1
CSC Dumbravita
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
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Gloria Bistrita

(Away)
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
19 Sept
Steaua Bucuresti
2 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
12 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
2 : 3
Popesti Leordeni
05 Sept
Stefanesti
1 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
02 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
0 : 2
Miercurea Ciuc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Slatina 8 7 1 0 17:5 22
2 Politehnica Timisoara 9 6 3 0 19:8 21
3 CSM Resita 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 FC Bacau 8 4 3 1 19:8 15
5 Chindia Targoviste 8 5 0 3 17:8 15
6 Popesti Leordeni 8 4 3 1 19:14 15
7 Concordia 8 5 0 3 17:13 15
8 Metalul Buzau 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
9 Afumati 8 4 2 2 12:12 14
10 Cetatea Suceava 8 3 3 2 15:11 12
11 Gloria Bistrita 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
12 Metaloglobus Bucharest 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
13 FC ASA Tg. Mures 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
14 Ramnicu Valcea 8 3 2 3 10:13 11
15 FC Bihor 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
16 Selimbar 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
17 Steaua Bucuresti 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
18 Stefanesti 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
19 Unirea Slobozia 8 1 1 6 11:12 4
20 CSM Satu Mare 8 0 4 4 3:10 4
21 CSC Dumbravita 8 0 3 5 5:16 3
22 CS Din. Bucuresti 8 1 0 7 9:27 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)