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FC Bacau vs Metalul Buzau

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Bacau play Metalul Buzau in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Bacau averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Metalul Buzau averaged 2.34 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, FC Bacau won 2, Metalul Buzau won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for FC Bacau and 1.94 for Metalul Buzau. This points to a Metalul Buzau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FC Bacau
15%
Draws
47%
Metalul Buzau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metalul Buzau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Bacau picked up more points recently compared to Metalul Buzau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 10%
Metalul Buzau Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Bacau Metalul Buzau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Bacau vs Metalul Buzau
2:7
Feb 21, 2026 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs FC Bacau
0:1
May 25, 2024 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Metalul Buzau vs FC Bacau
3:1
May 22, 2024 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
FC Bacau vs Metalul Buzau
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Bacau 36 / 100
Metalul Buzau 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Bacau Metalul Buzau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Metalul Buzau or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Bacau attacking → ← attacking Metalul Buzau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Bacau scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Metalul Buzau let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

FC Bacau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Metalul Buzau lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 56
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00