Sport Picks

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FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Casquete A.
41' Event
Cuadros D.
42'
Sub
Paiva F. In: Grandez G.
Out: Paiva F.

AI Match Summary

FC Cajamarca in this Liga 2 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Cajamarca
15%
Draws
46%
Cesar Vallejo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesar Vallejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Cajamarca at 1.5 per game, Cesar Vallejo at 0.97.
  • Cesar Vallejo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Cajamarca, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 15%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Cesar Vallejo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs FC Cajamarca
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs FC Cajamarca
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Casquete A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cuadros D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 27 / 100
Cesar Vallejo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Cesar Vallejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesar Vallejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Cesar Vallejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

FC Cajamarca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Cesar Vallejo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cajamarca

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
21 Aug
FC Cajamarca
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
Page 1 of 7

Cesar Vallejo

(Away)
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Moquegua 2
ADA Jaen 1
Union Comercio -
TBD -
Comerciantes FC 0
Cesar Vallejo 1
TBD -
FC Cajamarca -
Semi-finals
Moquegua 3
Union Comercio 2
Cesar Vallejo 0
FC Cajamarca 3
Final
Moquegua 2
FC Cajamarca 3