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FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Casquete A.
41' Event
Cuadros D.
42'
Sub
Paiva F. In: Grandez G.
Out: Paiva F.

AI Match Summary

FC Cajamarca in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cajamarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FC Cajamarca
11%
Draws
9%
Cesar Vallejo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Cajamarca lately — more wins on the board than Cesar Vallejo.
  • FC Cajamarca are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 68%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cajamarca Cesar Vallejo
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs FC Cajamarca
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs FC Cajamarca
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 Liga 2
FC Cajamarca vs Cesar Vallejo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cajamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Casquete A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cuadros D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cajamarca 86 / 100
Cesar Vallejo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cajamarca Cesar Vallejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cesar Vallejo let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

FC Cajamarca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Cesar Vallejo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cajamarca VS Cesar Vallejo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Moquegua2
ADA Jaen1
Union Comercio-
TBD-
Comerciantes FC0
Cesar Vallejo1
TBD-
FC Cajamarca-
Semi-finals
Moquegua3
Union Comercio2
Cesar Vallejo0
FC Cajamarca3
Final
Moquegua2
FC Cajamarca3