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Stadium Background

FC Camaguey vs FC Ciego de Avila

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between FC Camaguey and FC Ciego de Avila finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Camaguey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Camaguey
39%
Draws
30%
FC Ciego de Avila
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Camaguey come out ahead of FC Ciego de Avila on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 24%
FC Ciego de Avila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Camaguey FC Ciego de Avila
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Camaguey
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs FC Ciego de Avila
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Camaguey
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs FC Ciego de Avila
0:2
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Ciego de Avila vs FC Camaguey
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Camaguey 33 / 100
FC Ciego de Avila 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Camaguey FC Ciego de Avila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Camaguey found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FC Ciego de Avila conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Camaguey has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Camaguey VS FC Ciego de Avila
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122