Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Las Tunas in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Tunas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Las Tunas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Las Tunas haven't matched FC Camaguey's recent run of results.
- Las Tunas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 23%
Las Tunas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Camaguey | Las Tunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey
5:2
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs Las Tunas
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey
2:3
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs Las Tunas
1:0
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
Las Tunas vs FC Camaguey
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Camaguey 21 / 100
Las Tunas 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Camaguey Las Tunas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Las Tunas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
FC Camaguey found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Las Tunas conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
FC Camaguey went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Camaguey VS Las Tunas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Camaguey
(Home) 14 Jun
FC Camaguey
3 : 0 FC Sancti Spiritus
07 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
2 : 1 FC Camaguey
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2 FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Camaguey
2 : 1 FC Ciego de Avila
03 May
FC Camaguey
0 : 1 Las Tunas
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14 Jun
FC Camaguey
3 : 0 FC Sancti Spiritus
17 May
FC Camaguey
2 : 1 FC Ciego de Avila
03 May
FC Camaguey
0 : 1 Las Tunas
19 Apr
FC Camaguey
4 : 0 FC Sancti Spiritus
22 Mar
FC Camaguey
0 : 2 FC Ciego de Avila
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Las Tunas
(Away) 14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
07 Jun
Las Tunas
4 : 0 FC Sancti Spiritus
24 May
Las Tunas
5 : 2 FC Camaguey
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1 Las Tunas
10 May
Las Tunas
3 : 0 FC Ciego de Avila
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14 Jun
FC Ciego de Avila
4 : 0 Las Tunas
17 May
FC Sancti Spiritus
2 : 1 Las Tunas
03 May
FC Camaguey
0 : 1 Las Tunas
19 Apr
FC Ciego de Avila
0 : 1 Las Tunas
22 Mar
FC Sancti Spiritus
0 : 1 Las Tunas
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
