Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Caracal vs Ghecon Lapusata

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Caracal in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Caracal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FC Caracal
15%
Draws
0%
Ghecon Lapusata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Caracal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Caracal lately — more wins on the board than Ghecon Lapusata.
  • FC Caracal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Caracal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Caracal Clean Sheet 20%
Ghecon Lapusata Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Caracal Ghecon Lapusata
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 23 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.78 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Ghecon Lapusata vs FC Caracal
1:3
Nov 18, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FC Caracal vs Ghecon Lapusata
2:0
Apr 22, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 4
FC Caracal vs Ghecon Lapusata
4:2
Oct 15, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Ghecon Lapusata vs FC Caracal
1:1
Jun 11, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Ghecon Lapusata vs FC Caracal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Caracal 85 / 100
Ghecon Lapusata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Caracal Ghecon Lapusata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Caracal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghecon Lapusata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ghecon Lapusata has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Caracal found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (41 games).

Scoring Trends

FC Caracal VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Caracal

(Home)
31 Jul
Sporting Rosiori
3 : 0
FC Caracal
30 May
FC Caracal
1 : 2
Visina Noua
24 May
Inter Clinceni
0 : 3
FC Caracal
10 May
Voluntari
2 : 0
FC Caracal
03 May
FC Caracal
2 : 1
Stefanesti
Page 1 of 9

Ghecon Lapusata

(Away)
18 Jul
Danut Coman
3 : 0
Ghecon Lapusata
02 Jun
Sportul Snagov
2 : 0
Ghecon Lapusata
26 May
Ghecon Lapusata
1 : 3
FC Caracal
18 May
Cisnadie
3 : 1
Ghecon Lapusata
15 May
Ghecon Lapusata
2 : 4
Matasari
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sportul Snagov 30 19 6 5 52:23 63
2 Minerul Motru 30 15 9 6 49:23 54
3 FC Caracal 30 15 9 6 41:24 54
4 Albota 30 14 6 10 35:26 48
5 Visina Noua 30 14 4 12 33:27 46
6 Cisnadie 30 13 7 10 42:29 46
7 Jiul Rovinari 30 13 7 10 44:28 44
8 Metaloglobus Bucharest 29 12 4 13 34:36 40
9 Gaz Metan Medias 2 30 12 4 14 27:36 40
10 Matasari 30 9 11 10 33:29 38
11 Viitorul Targu Jiu II 30 10 8 12 32:44 38
12 FCM Targoviste 30 10 7 13 28:35 37
13 Oltchim Ramnicu 29 10 6 13 33:38 36
14 Prometeu Craiova 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
15 Atletic Bradu 30 7 4 19 26:64 25
16 Ghecon Lapusata 30 5 4 21 25:63 19
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 2012/2013 (Main)