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FC Cartagena SAD B vs Bala Azul Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Furtado R.
40' Event
Silva D.
47' Event
Acosta Garrido I.

AI Match Summary

Bala Azul in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bala Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Cartagena SAD B
35%
Draws
32%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bala Azul lately — more wins on the board than FC Cartagena SAD B.
  • FC Cartagena SAD B are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Cartagena SAD B Clean Sheet 20%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cartagena SAD B Bala Azul
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs Bala Azul
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs FC Cartagena SAD B
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs FC Cartagena SAD B
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs Bala Azul
0:0
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs Bala Azul
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD B Compare

Top Goalscorer Abellan I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bala Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Furtado R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD B 42 / 100
Bala Azul 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cartagena SAD B Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD B's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bala Azul has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FC Cartagena SAD B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Cartagena SAD B VS Bala Azul
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cartagena SAD B

(Home)
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
15 Aug
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
Page 1 of 6

Bala Azul

(Away)
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)