Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Sanluqueno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Cartagena SAD play Sanluqueno in the Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. FC Cartagena SAD are favorites here. Recently, FC Cartagena SAD averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Sanluqueno averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, FC Cartagena SAD won 3, Sanluqueno won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for FC Cartagena SAD and 0.56 for Sanluqueno. This points to a FC Cartagena SAD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

FC Cartagena SAD

16%

Draws

26%

Sanluqueno

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

FC Cartagena SAD picked up more points recently compared to Sanluqueno.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 30%

Sanluqueno Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Cartagena SAD	Sanluqueno
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	5
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	19
Goals Scored	0.93	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2

FC Cartagena SAD vs Sanluqueno

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sep 28, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2

Sanluqueno vs FC Cartagena SAD

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Feb 2, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

FC Cartagena SAD vs Sanluqueno

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sep 15, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Sanluqueno vs FC Cartagena SAD

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Mar 16, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Sanluqueno vs FC Cartagena SAD

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Borrego C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sanluqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD 58 / 100

Sanluqueno 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Cartagena SAD Sanluqueno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cartagena SAD Win (1)

Secondary Pick FC Cartagena SAD & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Cartagena SAD attacking → ← attacking Sanluqueno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sanluqueno let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

FC Cartagena SAD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sanluqueno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 21

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eldense	38	19	12	7	57:39	69
2	Sabadell	38	18	14	6	53:27	68
3	Atl. Madrid B	38	19	10	9	64:44	67
4	Villarreal B	38	16	15	7	54:32	63
5	CE Europa	38	16	12	10	55:50	60
6	FC Cartagena SAD	38	15	12	11	37:38	57
7	Antequera	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
8	Algeciras	38	15	10	13	40:41	55
9	Hercules	38	14	12	12	43:41	54
10	Murcia	38	14	10	14	43:40	52
11	Alcorcon	38	12	15	11	44:38	51
12	UD Ibiza	38	13	11	14	44:38	50
13	Teruel	38	12	13	13	27:33	49
14	Gimnastic de Tarragona	38	13	8	17	40:49	47
15	Torremolinos	38	11	13	14	45:51	46
16	Betis B	38	12	9	17	48:59	45
17	Tarazona	38	11	12	15	31:40	45
18	Marbella	38	9	7	22	36:55	34
19	Sanluqueno	38	7	10	21	27:53	31
20	Sevilla B	38	5	13	20	21:44	28