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FC Cartagena SAD vs Sanluqueno

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Mulenga T.
36'
Sub
Lopez R. In: Gbizie R.
Out: Lopez R.
36'
Sub
Mulenga T. In: Viedma A.
Out: Mulenga T.

AI Match Summary

FC Cartagena SAD in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cartagena SAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FC Cartagena SAD
6%
Draws
4%
Sanluqueno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Cartagena SAD lately — more wins on the board than Sanluqueno.
  • Win probability leans FC Cartagena SAD's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 68%
Sanluqueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cartagena SAD Sanluqueno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Sanluqueno
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sanluqueno vs FC Cartagena SAD
3:0
Feb 2, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
FC Cartagena SAD vs Sanluqueno
2:0
Sep 15, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sanluqueno vs FC Cartagena SAD
0:1
Mar 16, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sanluqueno vs FC Cartagena SAD
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Borrego C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sanluqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cartagena SAD 95 / 100
Sanluqueno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cartagena SAD Sanluqueno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cartagena SAD's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sanluqueno has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Cartagena SAD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Cartagena SAD VS Sanluqueno
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428