Sport Picks
FC Cascavel vs Marcilio Dias Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie D Estádio Olímpico Regional Jacy Miguel Scanagatta, Cascavel 
Match Events
4'
4'
Borech
31'
31'
Claudinho
56'
56'
Robinho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marcilio Dias
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Cascavel haven't matched Marcilio Dias's recent run of results.
- Marcilio Dias are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Marcilio Dias arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Cascavel, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Cascavel Clean Sheet 13%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Cascavel | Marcilio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs FC Cascavel
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Marcilio Dias
2:2
Jul 9, 2022 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Marcilio Dias
3:0
Apr 23, 2022 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs FC Cascavel
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Serie D
FC Cascavel vs Marcilio Dias
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Cascavel Compare
Top Goalscorer Borech
1 Goals Assists Leader Robinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Marcilio Dias Compare
Top Goalscorer Claudinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Lyra
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Cascavel 27 / 100
Marcilio Dias 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Cascavel Marcilio Dias
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Cascavel scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Marcilio Dias conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
FC Cascavel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Cascavel VS Marcilio Dias
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Cascavel
(Home) 26 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 4 FC Cascavel
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1 FC Cascavel
12 Sept
FC Cascavel
2 : 3 Athletico-PR B
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1 FC Cascavel
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3 Foz do Iguacu
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
FC Cascavel
2 : 3 Athletico-PR B
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3 Foz do Iguacu
12 Jul
FC Cascavel
1 : 1 Corinthians
27 Jun
FC Cascavel
1 : 2 Gremio
21 Jun
FC Cascavel
2 : 2 Marcilio Dias
Page 1 of 4
Marcilio Dias
(Away) 26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1 Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Joinville
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1 Marcilio Dias
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
21 Jun
FC Cascavel
2 : 2 Marcilio Dias
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
