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FC Cesarense vs SC Espinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Espinho in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
FC Cesarense
20%
Draws
51%
SC Espinho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Espinho have won more games recently than FC Cesarense.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on SC Espinho taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 16%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Cesarense SC Espinho
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Cesarense vs SC Espinho
1:4
Dec 16, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Espinho vs FC Cesarense
1:1
Mar 31, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Espinho vs FC Cesarense
3:3
Dec 3, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Cesarense vs SC Espinho
1:1
Jan 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs SC Espinho
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Cesarense 11 / 100
SC Espinho 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Cesarense SC Espinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FC Cesarense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: FC Cesarense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: SC Espinho conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Espinho
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Cesarense

(Home)
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2
FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4
SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2
FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4
Lusitano FCV
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SC Espinho

(Away)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)