Sport Picks
FC Chernihiv vs Dynamo Kyiv
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 Arena Lviv, Lviv 
Match Events
14'
14'
Buyalskyy V.
23'
23'
Kartushov Y.
26'
26'
Buyalskyy V.
AI Match Summary
Dynamo Kyiv in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dynamo Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Dynamo Kyiv have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
- Model gives FC Chernihiv a 28% chance of winning this.
- Dynamo Kyiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dynamo Kyiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Chernihiv | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
FC Chernihiv vs Dynamo Kyiv
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Chernihiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Romanchenko A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Dynamo Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Buyalskyy V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Yarmolenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Chernihiv 59 / 100
Dynamo Kyiv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Chernihiv Dynamo Kyiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Chernihiv found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Dynamo Kyiv has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.
FC Chernihiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Chernihiv VS Dynamo Kyiv
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Chernihiv
(Home) 29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
23 Aug
LSTM Lutsk
1 : 2 FC Chernihiv
15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Zhytomyr 2
09 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
01 Aug
FC Chernihiv
1 : 1 Kulikiv
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15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Zhytomyr 2
01 Aug
FC Chernihiv
1 : 1 Kulikiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Inhulets
20 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 3 Dynamo Kyiv
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Dynamo Kyiv
(Away) 31 Aug
Bukovyna
3 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
16 Aug
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 1 Kolos Kovalivka
13 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
09 Aug
Veres Rivne
1 : 2 Dynamo Kyiv
06 Aug
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
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31 Aug
Bukovyna
3 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
13 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
09 Aug
Veres Rivne
1 : 2 Dynamo Kyiv
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
16 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
0 : 1 Dynamo Kyiv
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3
