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FC Chernihiv vs Dynamo Kyiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup Arena Lviv
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Buyalskyy V.
23'
Kartushov Y.
26' Event
Buyalskyy V.

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Kyiv in this Ukrainian Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dynamo Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
FC Chernihiv
11%
Draws
80%
Dynamo Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Dynamo Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Dynamo Kyiv have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
  • Model gives Dynamo Kyiv a 80% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Ukrainian Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 13%
Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Dynamo Kyiv
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
FC Chernihiv vs Dynamo Kyiv
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Romanchenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dynamo Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Buyalskyy V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yarmolenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 11 / 100
Dynamo Kyiv 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Dynamo Kyiv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DKY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Chernihiv scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Dynamo Kyiv let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

FC Chernihiv went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Dynamo Kyiv
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2
Dinaz Vyshgorod0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
Kolos Polonne1
Naftovyk Dolyna0
FC Kharkiv2
Obolon0
Lokomotyv Kyiv3
Kolos Kovalivka2
Korosten0
Veres Rivne4
Nyva Vinnytsya3
UCSA0
Hirnyk-Sport1
Trostyanets0
FC Chernihiv1
Atlet Kiev0
Kulikiv0
Kryvbas3
FC Vilkhivtsi1
Olympia Savyntsi2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
Lisne4
Epitsentr1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa2
Zorya1
Fazenda0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
FC Uzhhorod1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv2
Mayak Sarny0
LNZ Cherkasy1
Probiy Horodenka0
Kormil Yavoriv1
Rukh Lviv2
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
Lozova0
Bukovyna3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih0
Karpaty Lviv8
Real Pharma Odesa0
Nyva Ternopil3
Iron1
SC Poltava5
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Polissya Stavky3
Rebel Kyiv0
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Livyi Bereg1
Kudrivka0
Victoria1
Vorskla Poltava0
Karbon Cherkasy1
Inhulets2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
Skala 19110
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk2
Kolos Polonne1
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Veres Rivne0
Nyva Vinnytsya7
Hirnyk-Sport0
FC Chernihiv3
Kryvbas0
Olympia Savyntsi1
Lisne2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv0
LNZ Cherkasy2
Rukh Lviv3
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Bukovyna1
Karpaty Lviv0
Nyva Ternopil3
SC Poltava0
Oleksandriya1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Polissya Stavky0
Shakhtar1
Livyi Bereg0
Victoria1
Inhulets4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Nyva Vinnytsya0
FC Chernihiv2
Lisne1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka1
Fenix Mariupol2
LNZ Cherkasy1
Rukh Lviv0
Bukovyna2
Nyva Ternopil1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Shakhtar1
Victoria0
Inhulets1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv3
Lokomotyv Kyiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Fenix Mariupol0
LNZ Cherkasy0
Bukovyna1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Inhulets0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Bukovyna0
Dynamo Kyiv3
Final
FC Chernihiv1
Dynamo Kyiv3