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FC Chernihiv vs Epitsentr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Ukrainian Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Epitsentr have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while FC Chernihiv have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, FC Chernihiv have won 1 to Epitsentr's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 7, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward Epitsentr. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
FC Chernihiv
20%
Draws
20%
Epitsentr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Chernihiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • FC Chernihiv haven't matched Epitsentr's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Chernihiv's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Epitsentr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Epitsentr, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 18%
Epitsentr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Epitsentr
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Druha Liga
Epitsentr vs FC Chernihiv
0:0
Oct 10, 2021 Druha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Epitsentr
3:2
May 26, 2021 Druha Liga
Epitsentr vs FC Chernihiv
2:0
Sep 12, 2020 Druha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Epitsentr
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 67 / 100
Epitsentr 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Epitsentr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chernihiv scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Epitsentr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Epitsentr's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Epitsentr
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)
17 Oct
Victoria
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
11 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1
FC Chernihiv
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4
FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

Epitsentr

(Away)
18 Oct
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 2
Epitsentr
10 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka
3 : 1
Epitsentr
03 Oct
Bukovyna
0 : 0
Epitsentr
19 Sept
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg
14 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0
Epitsentr
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -