Sport Picks
FC Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine
Persha Liga Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv 
Match Events
23'
23'
Serdyuk M.
31'
31'
Gabelok A.
34'
34'
Mysyk M.
AI Match Summary
FC Chernihiv in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Chernihiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Chernihiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FC Chernihiv lately — more wins on the board than Nyva Ternopil.
- Model gives FC Chernihiv a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 68%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Chernihiv | Nyva Ternopil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs FC Chernihiv
2:0
May 19, 2024 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil
3:3
Apr 13, 2024 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs FC Chernihiv
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Chernihiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Serdyuk M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Nyva Ternopil Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Chernihiv 86 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Chernihiv Nyva Ternopil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nyva Ternopil let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
FC Chernihiv scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: FC Chernihiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Chernihiv VS Nyva Ternopil
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Chernihiv
(Home) 05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
23 Aug
LSTM Lutsk
1 : 2 FC Chernihiv
15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Zhytomyr 2
09 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2 Zhytomyr 2
01 Aug
FC Chernihiv
1 : 1 Kulikiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Inhulets
Page 1 of 4
Nyva Ternopil
(Away) 05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
22 Aug
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 4 Bukovyna
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2 Nyva Ternopil
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2 Nyva Ternopil
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
01 Aug
SC Poltava
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 2 | SC Poltava | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Metalist Kharkiv | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Inhulets | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 9 | FC Chernihiv | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Fenix Mariupol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | UCSA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 13 | Nyva Ternopil | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Zhytomyr 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
