Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Chernihiv Arena

FC Chernihiv

3 - 0

Probiy Horodenka

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Serdyuk M.

20'

Novikov A.

46'

Sub

Kharuk R. In: Sondey I.

Out: Kharuk R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Chernihiv and Probiy Horodenka finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Chernihiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

FC Chernihiv

30%

Draws

34%

Probiy Horodenka

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Chernihiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

FC Chernihiv's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Probiy Horodenka have produced (0.86).
Win probability leans FC Chernihiv's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 20%

Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Chernihiv	Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.13	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 Persha Liga

FC Chernihiv vs Probiy Horodenka

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Aug 3, 2025 Persha Liga

Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernihiv

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Serdyuk M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Novikov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78

Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 36 / 100

Probiy Horodenka 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Chernihiv Probiy Horodenka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chernihiv's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Probiy Horodenka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Chernihiv went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Probiy Horodenka

1.13 Goals Scored 0.86

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 43%

63% Over 2.5 43%

25% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	30	26	3	1	74:21	81
2	Ch. Odesa	30	19	8	3	44:20	65
3	Livyi Bereg	30	19	6	5	50:21	63
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	30	16	5	9	36:28	53
5	Inhulets	30	12	10	8	41:32	46
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)	30	9	10	11	33:33	37
7	Metalist Kharkiv	30	10	7	13	31:35	37
8	Probiy Horodenka	30	10	6	14	29:37	36
9	Fenix Mariupol	30	9	9	12	31:32	36
10	Victoria	30	10	6	14	37:38	36
11	UCSA	30	10	6	14	30:40	36
12	Nyva Ternopil	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
13	FC Chernihiv	30	8	7	15	30:36	31
14	Vorskla Poltava	30	7	9	14	23:36	30
15	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi	30	4	9	17	20:45	21
16	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	30	4	7	19	16:61	19
17	Minaj	0	0	0	0	0:0	0