Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Chernihiv vs Zhytomyr 2

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Chernihiv host Zhytomyr 2 in the Persha Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FC Chernihiv at 0.75 goals for, 1.63 against; Zhytomyr 2 at 0.75 for, 0.75 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.75 - 1.19) back Zhytomyr 2 to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Chernihiv
35%
Draws
46%
Zhytomyr 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zhytomyr 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Zhytomyr 2 have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
  • FC Chernihiv are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 20%
Zhytomyr 2 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Zhytomyr 2
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 36 / 100
Zhytomyr 2 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Zhytomyr 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Chernihiv scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Zhytomyr 2 let in goals in 56% of their last 25 matches.

FC Chernihiv went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Zhytomyr 2 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Zhytomyr 2
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)
01 Aug
FC Chernihiv
1 : 1
Kulikiv
25 Jul
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 1
FC Chernihiv
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1
FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
FC Chernihiv
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Zhytomyr 2

(Away)
03 Aug
Inhulets
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
25 Jul
Zhytomyr 2
2 : 2
UCSA
18 Jul
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
27 May
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0
Zhytomyr 2
22 May
Bukovyna 2
0 : 2
Zhytomyr 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 UCSA 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
3 SC Poltava 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
4 Inhulets 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Kulikiv 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Metalist Kharkiv 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
7 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
8 Kolos Kovalivka 2 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Oleksandriya 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
11 FC Chernihiv 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Nyva Ternopil 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Zhytomyr 2 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
14 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Probiy Horodenka 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
16 Fenix Mariupol 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)