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FC Chernihiv vs Zhytomyr 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Chernihiv Stadium, Černihiv
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Romanchenko A.
(Penalty)
12'
Bezborodko D.
46'
Sub
Bezborodko D. In: Porokhnya A.
Out: Bezborodko D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Chernihiv
20%
Draws
36%
Zhytomyr 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Chernihiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Zhytomyr 2 have won more games recently than FC Chernihiv.
  • FC Chernihiv are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 19%
Zhytomyr 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chernihiv Zhytomyr 2
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Zhytomyr 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Galstyan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zhytomyr 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avramenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chernihiv 40 / 100
Zhytomyr 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chernihiv Zhytomyr 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Chernihiv scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Zhytomyr 2 let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

FC Chernihiv has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Chernihiv VS Zhytomyr 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chernihiv

(Home)
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4
FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

Zhytomyr 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3
Zhytomyr 2
28 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
14 Sept
Zhytomyr 2
3 : 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)