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FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Melnikov M.
39' Event
Kavtrev E.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 game between FC Chertanovo Moscow and Cherepovets finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Chertanovo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
15%
Draws
36%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Chertanovo Moscow come out ahead of Cherepovets on wins alone.
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Chertanovo Moscow Cherepovets
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.04 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets
2:0
May 17, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
0:4
Apr 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Melnikov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavtrev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Cherepovets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Chertanovo Moscow 36 / 100
Cherepovets 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Chertanovo Moscow Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Chertanovo Moscow scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Cherepovets has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: FC Chertanovo Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Chertanovo Moscow VS Cherepovets
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Chertanovo Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Yenisey 2
2 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
21 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
4 : 2
Kosmos
12 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
1 : 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
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Cherepovets

(Away)
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
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